Sunday, May 3, 2009

A New Hope

And as the Republican Party dissipates, a golden opportunity presents itself.

With the defection of Arlen Spector, who was never really a Republican anyway, and the imminent departure of the George H. W. Bush appointed Justice David Souter from the Supreme Court bench (granted, a liberal by many counts), it would seem the right is running out of options and fast. In fact, the sheer amount of missed opportunities they had to make an impact in the last 100 days is staggering, considering the substantial amount of activity by the Obama administration and the issues raised. For a party coming off 3 years of mandate-like defeats, the prior 100 days should have been a dream come true, a chance to attack every issue, much like a basketball team on a losing streak looking for every opportunity to end it. Yet despite the failure of non-activity and unintentional comic relief (yes you, Mike Steel), with the need for a new Justice, a golden opportunity presents itself.

The mother of all issues for the Right.

Abortion.

The gay marriage issue, long a Republican stronghold, has essentially been bypassed, thanks to Meghan McCain (who would have thunk it?) and the lack of political legs the Miss America fiasco developed, the legalizations of gay marriage throughout the states seems to be a foregone conclusion, a fight no longer worth fighting.

The same holds true for the “smaller government” stand, as Obama’s approval numbers stay steady in the mid 60’s. At a time that has seen big business run roughshod over the American dream, most Americans are convinced of the need for greater regulation and assistance to the middle class. The “Tea Parties” were essentially an irrelevant joke, noticed only in passing (in some cases, quite literally) on the evening news, or by the bought and paid for viewers of Fox News.

The only one left standing remains abortion.

There are few issues that fuel the flames of the right as much as right-to life. When life begins, who is responsible, what does God want, and what should the penalties be are all aspects that will be delved into in the next few months, leading up to the start of the October Supreme Court session. Even though only 51 votes are needed to sign off on a nominee, giving the Republicans virtually no chance outside of a public relations nightmare to block anyone that Obama might nominate, the abortion debate will no doubt be pushed to the forefront of national consciousness once again.

Truth be told, there is no real answer to the abortion debate, unlike the gay marriage issue. All humans are equal, and therefore all have the right to do as they please with regards to marriage. Fairly simple. Not so with abortion. When does life really begin? At conception? At birth? Who decides? Who would pay for a potential abortion? Should insurance cover it? Should the government for the poor? What about rape cases? If it were determined to be a crime, what is the punishment?

No matter where you stand on this most divisive issue, there are valid ideologies on both sides. And much like the Alito nomination a few years ago, it will be front and center of the news cycle this summer. No matter who replaces Judge Souter, it will be an issue that will not disappear anytime soon. But should the Republicans handle this as they have gay marriage, and basically every issue since the election, the Party as now constructed may never be the same.

8 comments:

The Law said...

wow... you know, you raise a very interesting point. If the republicans lose this battle, then their mission to rebrand the party image is a gross understatement. If progressives get the abortion laws they want, then GOP essentially needs to completely overhaul its message, image, and priorities. Given the current state of things, it seems they will be out of power for quite a long time... or fizzle ane die all together. And I bet libertariansim takes its place. But this kind of thing won't happen anytime in the near future... I'm thinking a generation or two, we if stay on the same path...

Mark Meloy said...

It really is not an issue of losing the battle, the nominee will be prochoice no matter who he or she is. the real issue is public opinion. If the Republicans come off as simply a party with an intelligent yet differing opinion, it is a huge success. If however, they come off as Limbaugh-esque zealots, the end is near. It might be Democrats versus Libertarians by the 2016 election.

conservative generation said...

Mark,

Thanks for stopping by my blog. I like your level headed view point, although I'm not likely to agree. I've added you to my blog list.

Onto your points. I'm sorry, but you and the other progs are off base. The polls are good, but they are always good in the first 100 days. In fact, Obama is the least popular President in the first 100 days over the last 40 years. Of course it will take the centrists a while to become disenchanted from Obama.

One of the biggest things in the polls that continues to be look at with rose colored glasses from the progs is Obama's high negatives. He is more polarizing than Bush.

Those are minor points of course. I totally agree that the elected republicans have been doing a horrible job over the last 100 days and have missed many opportunities. However, whether or not they come back has little to do with the Republicans and more to do with the democrats hanging themselves.

You have pointed out what I consider to be the quintisential progressive point of view. The idea that America has gone social left and that is what matters most to the average voter. The fact is most people supporting and holding a favorable opinion of Obama are doing so on economic outlook. However, Obamanomics are going to fail and fail big. The Republicans really just have to sit back and watch the progressives bring down their own majority.

Mark Meloy said...

Let me see here....

No president in the last few decades has entered office with anywhere close to the issues facing Obama. It is nothing short of amazing that, in this economic turmoil, his ratings remain in the 60's.

The current Republican party can hardly even be called opposition, as that would imply they the "opposite" opinion, when in fact, they have none. The Party has been relegated to a political Statler and Waldorf, content to heckle from the sidelines while offering no real solutions or ideas. With no direction, a new leader emerges on a weekly basis, qualified simply by being the loudest guy in the room, or, umm, airwave.
So keep yelling. But with each tirade, you push more moderate Americans away, and there are too few at the Republican core to carry it alone. And without a doubt, I would rather be the one with the bucket, desperately working to bail out the ship, then be sitting on the sidelines bitching, hoping and wishing for the ultimate I told you so.

Aaron Myers said...

Hey there
Enjoyed you blog, and I have read a few of the oterh ones as well. Take a look at my blog: drmyers.wordpress.com.
I’d love to dialog with you about perhaps placing a link there so my readers could take a look at what you’re doing.
Again, Keep up the supburb work!
Thanks,
Aaron Myers
Twitter.com/aaronmyers
Ceoexchange07@gmail.com
Drmyers.wordperss.com

Mark Meloy said...

Aaron,
Thats fine. Outside of commenting on your posts, I am not sure what you would need.

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